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Thursday, August 14, 2025

Wildfire smoke remains in the forecast for many

 Most of Colorado is experiencing at least moderate levels of smoke Thursday morning.  The heaviest smoke can be found in close vicinity to wildfires in western parts of the state, while the Colorado River Valley between Gypsum and Vail is also seeing highly elevated levels of fine particulate matter.

A map showing elevated levels of fine particulate matter (smoke) across Colorado
Wildfire smoke producing moderate (yellow) to unhealthy for sensitive groups (orange) levels of fine particulate matter Thursday morning.  Map and data courtesy of the EPA's Fire and Smoke Map

Unfortunately Red Flag Warnings blanket the western half of Colorado on Thursday.  The primary threat will be dry thunderstorms which could initiate new fires and perhaps enhance current fires due to gusty winds.  CDPHE meteorologists will be closely monitoring for new wildfire starts throughout the day.

A map showing that most of central and western Colorado is under a Red Flag Warning for Thursday
Counties shaded in pink are under a Red Flag Warning on Thursday.  Image courtesy of the National Weather Service GIS Viewer

The Air Quality Health Advisories that were in effect yesterday will be extended through at least Friday morning, but there will be some changes.  We do anticipate the Lee fire and the Crosho fire to remain active today and send smoke downwind to the northeast.  This will increase the potential for smoke in places like Steamboat Springs and Walden Thursday afternoon.  The highest smoke impacts will remain for areas along and north of Interstate 70 in northwestern and north-central Colorado.  Meanwhile, we do anticipate some gradual improvement for areas a bit further to the south and west, including Grand Junction, Delta, Montrose and Gunnison.  Those areas have been removed from today's advisory, but locals should still take it a little slower than usual as the recent exposure to smoke could have some lingering health impacts.

Meanwhile in southwestern Colorado, the Stoner Mesa fire continues to burn in eastern Dolores County.  This area is also under a Red Flag Warning and could see some growth today, especially if it is impacted by gusty outflow winds from dry thunderstorms.  One small piece of good news is that the transport winds are not particularly strong today in southwestern Colorado, so we are not expecting smoke to move very far away from the fire.  Therefore, air quality should improve somewhat in places like Telluride, Ouray and Silverton.  The flip side is that we are seeing increasing amounts of drainage smoke.  This is the smoke that flows downhill during the early morning hours and generally is at its worst right around the morning rush hour. Cortez and Durango have both seen an uptick in smoke over the past 24 hours.  Though these areas should see some improvement Thursday afternoon once the atmosphere heats up, smoke could very well return late Thursday night into early Friday morning.

A webcam image showing smoky conditions around Cortez Municipal Airport
Surface smoke at Cortez Municipal Airport Thursday morning. Image courtesy of the Federal Aviation Administration

Below is a map of Colorado showing active Air Quality Health Advisories.  With the rapidly changing atmospheric and wildfire conditions, we urge you to remain up-to-date on current advisories by visiting our website and signing up for email alerts.

A map of colorado showing air quality health advisories in northwestern and southwestern parts of the state
Current Air Quality Health Advisories, by county.  Map from Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, Air Pollution Control Division website




5 comments:

  1. We were planning to head out for backpacking on the 4th of July Trail late this afternoon…should we wait? It’s so close to the border line of the moderate warning.

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  2. The answer to that question is highly dependent on your personal health and tolerance to woodfire smoke. The 4th of July Trail is unlikely to see a big increase in smoke concentrations this afternoon, but it's not going to be super clean either. We suspect that PM2.5 levels in this area will likely remain in the low-moderate category.

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  3. Thank you! Mostly concerned because we have a small child and I don’t want to do any damage to her lungs!

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  4. We have plans to drive from Denver to Ouray next Tuesday and stay until Sat ( 23 rd ) What are chances of smoke in that area during that time ?

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    1. It's so incredibly difficult to say as it's near impossible to determine what will remain of the current wildfires and potentially how many new wildfires get started between now and Tuesday. What we can say is that there should be a decent chance for afternoon thunderstorms during that time period. That could go two ways -- provide cooler, wetter weather and decrease fire activity OR be dry thunderstorms with lightning strikes and perhaps start new wildfires. Stay tuned here and we'll keep you updated!

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